EPSOM MARKET WATCH — SHARED DASHBOARD EVIDENCE Version 2.3; snapshot 2026-10-24T09:16:48.685Z Generated 2026-10-24T09:16:48.685Z Score -16 (heuristic, not a pricing recommendation) sp500: 7623.68017578125 USD, date 2026-10-23; 1D -0.519%; 1M -1.044%; daily-bar basis; https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history/ nasdaq: 25955.33984375 USD, date 2026-10-23; 1D -0.206%; 1M -3.653%; daily-bar basis; https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EIXIC/history/ ftse100: 10690.400390625 GBP, date 2026-10-23; 1D -0.323%; 1M -0.139%; daily-bar basis; https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EFTSE/history/ brent: 116.72000122070312 USD, date 2026-10-23; 1D 3.137%; 1M 9.493%; daily-bar basis; https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/BZ%3DF/history/ gbpusd: 1.3374885320663452 USD, date 2026-10-23; 1D -0.217%; 1M 0.238%; daily-bar basis; https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GBPUSD%3DX/history/ Warnings: brent: Headline quote differs by more than 1% from daily bar. Display and comparisons use the daily bar consistently; verify the contract and session before treating it as an official close. | Market Watch prose is an imported dated report, not a live task output. Competitor and portal figures remain dated snapshots. FULL SHARED EVIDENCE JSON { "schemaVersion": 1, "appVersion": "2.3", "snapshotId": "2026-10-24T09:16:48.685Z", "generatedAt": "2026-10-24T09:16:48.685Z", "canonicalUrl": "https://macro-epsom-housing-radar.pages.dev/api/watch", "analysis": { "score": -16, "scope": "Directional heuristic using canonical automated observations plus dated local snapshots; no browser overrides", "warnings": [ "brent: Headline quote differs by more than 1% from daily bar. Display and comparisons use the daily bar consistently; verify the contract and session before treating it as an official close.", "Market Watch prose is an imported dated report, not a live task output. Competitor and portal figures remain dated snapshots." ] }, "policy": { "marketBasis": "Latest Yahoo daily-bar close, separate from headline quote; 1D vs preceding daily bar; 1M vs first available bar in provider 1mo range", "rates": "BoE IUDSNPY 5Y gilt par yield is a proxy, never SONIA/OIS", "mortgages": "BoE monthly series are context; dated lender product announcements are needed to establish actual repricing", "local": "Prefer direct agent/portal observations with exact ID, observed date and status; official ONS/HMLR for completed-sale context", "geo": "Corroborated events only. Headline count has zero automatic directional weight.", "fallback": "Fail visibly; do not invent neutral observations or replace missing data with old values labelled current" }, "micro": { "updated": "2026-10-24T07:30:00+01:00", "property": { "name": "Redwood Drive, Epsom", "askingPrice": 850000, "beds": 4, "type": "Detached", "areaSqFt": 1542, "status": "For sale", "rightmoveId": "94353048", "chainFree": true }, "rightmoveHpi": { "reportDate": "2026-10-19", "nationalAskingMoM": 1, "nationalAskingYoY": -0.1, "salesAgreedYoY": -8, "buyerEnquiriesYoY": -9, "newListingsYoY": 3, "avgStockPerAgent": 65, "nationalDaysToBuyer": 67, "southEastAskingMoM": 0.9, "southEastAskingYoY": -0.9, "southEastDaysToBuyer": 74, "topLadderMoM": 0.8, "topLadderYoY": 0.3, "twoYearMortgageRate": 5.55 }, "epsom": { "onsDate": "2026-08", "avgPrice": 566000, "avgPriceYoY": 3.2, "detachedAvgPrice": 976000, "homeMoverAvgPrice": 701000, "mortgageBuyerAvgPrice": 580000 }, "competitors": [ { "id": "92578899", "name": "Warren Farm Close", "area": "Epsom", "beds": 4, "type": "Detached", "status": "Watch", "price": null }, { "id": "94580352", "name": "Nonsuch Court Avenue", "area": "Epsom", "beds": 4, "type": "Detached", "status": "Watch", "price": null }, { "id": "94182846", "name": "Cheam Road", "area": "East Ewell", "beds": 4, "type": "Detached", "status": "Watch", "price": null }, { "id": "93889830", "name": "Fir Tree Close", "area": "Epsom", "beds": 5, "type": "Detached", "status": "Watch", "price": null }, { "id": "94097331", "name": "Milburn Walk", "area": "Epsom", "beds": 5, "type": "Detached", "status": "Watch", "price": null }, { "id": "94161717", "name": "Geralds Grove", "area": "Banstead", "beds": 4, "type": "Detached", "status": "Watch", "price": null } ], "manualSignals": [ { "key": "uk2ySwap", "label": "UK 2Y SONIA swap", "value": null, "unit": "%", "impactDirection": "lower_good", "weight": 10, "note": "Enter latest trusted quote." }, { "key": "uk5ySwap", "label": "UK 5Y SONIA swap", "value": null, "unit": "%", "impactDirection": "lower_good", "weight": 10, "note": "Enter latest trusted quote." }, { "key": "budgetTone", "label": "Budget / fiscal credibility", "value": 0, "unit": "score", "impactDirection": "higher_good", "weight": 8, "note": "-2 very negative, 0 neutral, +2 very positive." }, { "key": "iranRisk", "label": "Iran / Gulf escalation risk", "value": 1, "unit": "score", "impactDirection": "lower_good", "weight": 7, "note": "-2 de-escalation, 0 neutral, +2 severe escalation." }, { "key": "jackdawRosebank", "label": "UK energy-security signal", "value": 0.5, "unit": "score", "impactDirection": "higher_good", "weight": 2, "note": "Low-weight Jackdaw/Rosebank contribution." } ], "marketWatch": { "reportDate": "2026-10-24", "importedOn": "2026-10-24", "sourceThreadId": "6ad9c427-f228-83ed-9e0e-bd32b352f61f", "recommendation": "Market Watch recommendation: hold at £850,000", "summary": "The latest Market Watch report describes a slightly weaker macro outlook, with energy prices a potential headwind to buyer affordability. 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